How U.S. Airstrikes on Iran Could Benefit Both Sides
The U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan in June 2025 have created a complex geopolitical scenario that could paradoxically offer strategic advantages to both Iran and President Donald Trump. The strikes, part of a coordinated effort with Israel’s “Operation Rising Lion,” targeted Iran’s nuclear enrichment capabilities, escalating the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict. While tensions are high, the situation presents a potential win-win: Iran gains diplomatic leverage, and Trump secures a path to claim a diplomatic victory.
For Iran, the strikes provide a chance to shift its nuclear strategy without losing face domestically. Facing a weakened military after Israel’s attacks and now U.S. intervention, Iran can claim wartime disruption to its enriched uranium supplies, creating strategic ambiguity. This allows Tehran to delay direct confrontation with the U.S., step back from nuclear transparency, and gain leverage in future negotiations without admitting defeat. By avoiding immediate retaliation, Iran could preserve its regional influence while sidestepping further devastating strikes, especially as its air defenses and proxies like Hezbollah are diminished.
For Trump, the airstrikes offer a diplomatic off-ramp despite his campaign promises to avoid “forever wars.” By framing the operation as a decisive blow—using B-2 bombers with bunker-buster munitions—Trump can project strength to his base and allies like Israel. If Iran opts for restraint or resumes talks, Trump could claim credit for forcing Tehran to the negotiating table, reinforcing his “peace through strength” narrative. However, the gamble carries risks: Iran’s potential retaliation, such as targeting U.S. bases or closing the Strait of Hormuz, could entangle the U.S. in a protracted conflict, alienating anti-war supporters.
The situation hinges on Iran’s response and Trump’s ability to pivot to diplomacy. A simple, verifiable deal—like capping uranium enrichment—could de-escalate tensions, benefiting both sides.