FPIs dump Indian equities worth Rs 33,598 cr in Jan so far. Is the sentiment set to worsen further?

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FPIs Dump Indian Equities Worth Rs 33,598 Cr in January: Sentiment Worsening?

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have significantly offloaded Indian equities, selling shares worth Rs 33,598 crore by January 23, marking the highest monthly outflow since August 2025. This aggressive selling underscores a rapid decline in foreign sentiment towards Indian markets, driven by multiple macroeconomic challenges and global uncertainties.

Key Highlights:

Staggering Outflows: FPIs have sold Indian shares worth Rs 33,598 crore up until January 23, according to NSDL data.
Market Impact: This sharp withdrawal has led to a loss of Rs 16 trillion in market capitalization in just one week, contributing to a 2.5% decline in the Nifty index.
Fragile Sentiments: Concerns over the depreciating rupee, weak Q3 earnings, and delays in the US-India trade agreement have left investor confidence shaken. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, notes that these factors have compounded the bearish outlook.

Factors Influencing FPIs Sales:

Rupee Depreciation: The rupee’s decline, hitting Rs 91.96 against the US dollar on January 23, has been a crucial motivator behind the FPIs’ selling spree.
Uncertain Trade Agreements: Market participants worry that delays in finalizing the US-India trade deal could widen India’s trade and current account deficits, further exerting pressure on the rupee.

Future Outlook

For FPIs confidence to improve, two conditions are essential:
1. Improved Corporate Earnings: While upcoming Q4 FY26 earnings promise greater visibility, the corporate sector needs to demonstrate resilience.
2. Clarity on Trade Agreements: Uncertainty surrounding the timeline of the US-India trade pact looms large, described by Vijayakumar as “the biggest uncertainty weighing on the market now.”

As the situation develops, market participants are keenly observing these critical factors that could either stabilize or further distress the Indian equities market.

Conclusion

The ongoing FPI sell-off can be attributed to a cocktail of factors, including economic instability and geopolitical uncertainties. Stakeholders will need to monitor corporate earnings and trade negotiations closely, as these may ultimately determine whether the sentiment around Indian equities can shift from pessimism to optimism in the future.

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