Oracle's Larry Ellison offers $40.4 billion guarantee to beef up Paramount's Warner Bros bid

Larry Ellison Guarantees $40.4 Billion to Strengthen Paramount’s Warner Bros Bid

Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison has made headlines by personally guaranteeing $40.4 billion in Paramount Skydance’s bold bid to acquire Warner Bros Discovery. This move aims to thwart the sale of Warner Bros’ assets to streaming powerhouse Netflix.

Key Details of the Bid

Financial Confidence: The guarantee, detailed in a recent filing, seeks to reassure Warner Bros’ board, which had expressed concerns regarding Paramount’s financial backing and the absence of comprehensive support from the Ellison family. This skepticism had initially propelled Warner Bros towards Netflix’s lucrative cash-and-stock offer.

Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Warner Bros shares increased nearly 4%, while Paramount’s stock rose about 3%. The sustained competition is intensifying in the struggle to secure coveted Hollywood assets, where ownership of Warner Bros’ extensive library could provide a significant advantage in the streaming landscape.

Paramount’s Strategic Adjustments

Cash Offer Remains: Paramount has reiterated that its bid maintains the $30-per-share all-cash offer, despite the escalating contest over Warner Bros’ essential assets. Analysts highlight the precarious position of Paramount, with Paolo Pescatore from PP Foresight noting, The improved offer is a step in the right direction, but it is unlikely to be enough.

Regulatory Moves: In revised terms, Ellison has committed to retain family trust assets throughout the transaction’s process. Paramount has increased its regulatory reverse termination fee to $5.8 billion from $5 billion, aligning with competitive offers, and extended the tender offer deadline to January 21, 2026.

Challenges Ahead

Shareholder Stances: Warner Bros has urged its shareholders to reject Paramount’s initial $108.4 billion bid, questioning its financial solidity and the lack of a firm guarantee. However, significant stakeholders, including Harris Associates, are open to considering enhanced offers from Paramount, provided they address financing concerns.

Regulatory Hurdles: Winning shareholder backing is just one of the many obstacles both bidders face. The deals will encounter rigorous antitrust scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe, with lawmakers from both sides raising alarms about potential media consolidation. Key political figures have voiced concerns, suggesting a merger could lead to unprecedented control over what Americans watch on television.

The Bigger Picture

Streaming Implications: A merger between Paramount and Warner Bros could create a studio larger than Disney, combining two major television operators. On the flip side, a Netflix-Warner Bros partnership would solidify Netflix’s dominance in streaming, boasting a subscriber base of 428 million. Netflix maintains that such a collaboration would honor Warner Bros’ theatrical commitments and potentially reduce consumer costs through bundled offerings.

Regulatory Perspectives: Netflix’s co-CEO Ted Sarandos expressed confidence in overcoming regulatory challenges, arguing that the deal would prevent job losses in an industry already grappling with inconsistent box-office returns.

In conclusion, Larry Ellison’s substantial $40.4 billion guarantee not only energizes Paramount’s bid for Warner Bros but also reveals the dramatic shifts occurring within the media industry. As the battle unfolds, both sides must navigate complex financial, regulatory, and competitive landscapes while seeking to assert their place in the evolving streaming ecosystem.

Leave a Reply