CA Anil Rana
Indian Policy makers have made very little progress to boost Indian Startup Funding Ecosystem. India can’t become self reliant and developed economy without putting it’s start-up investment on a steroids.
Startup funding in 2024: U.S. vs. China vs. India
United States (2024)
- Total VC deal value: ≈ $209B. Capital was highly concentrated—Q4 alone hit $74.6B, with mega-rounds in OpenAI, xAI, Databricks, Waymo, and Anthropic driving a large share. AI accounted for ~46% of U.S. VC deal value. Venture debt also expanded sharply to $53B, doubling 2023. (Scribd, NVCA, Reuters, Cravath – Homepage)
China (2024)
- Total VC funding: ≈ $33.2B, down ~32% YoY and the lowest since 2014—reflecting weaker late-stage activity and tighter liquidity, despite a few billion-dollar rounds. (Crunchbase News)
India (2024)
- Total VC + growth funding: ≈ $13.7B, 1.4× 2023, with robust deal volume in sub-$50M rounds. India retained the #2 spot in APAC VC destinations despite global softness. (Bain)
At a glance (2024 totals)
- U.S.: ~$209B (AI- and mega-round driven; deep venture-debt market). (Scribd, Reuters)
- China: ~$33.2B (multi-year low). (Crunchbase News)
- India: ~$13.7B (rebound year; earlier-stage heavy). (Bain)
What explains the gap?
- Cost and diversity of capital: The U.S. offers a full stack—seed to mega-growth—plus venture debt ($53B in 2024) and specialized credit, enabling longer runways without immediate equity dilution. (Cravath – Homepage)
- Concentration + scale in AI: Outsized checks into AI platforms pulled overall U.S. totals up; ~46% of 2024 U.S. VC went to AI. (Reuters)
- Macro and policy: China’s downturn reflects regulatory and market constraints; India’s recovery shows improving fundamentals, but average round sizes remain smaller and late-stage liquidity shallower. (Crunchbase News, Bain)
RBI and Indian Policy Makers Needs To Act and Act Fast
- Cheaper, targeted credit
- Launch RBI-backed startup credit windows via banks/NBFCs at subsidized rates with performance-linked step-downs; pair with partial credit guarantees (CGTMSE-style) to crowd in private lenders.
- Build a deep venture-debt market
- Create a priority-sector classification for venture debt; standardize covenants and recovery norms; allow pension/insurance allocations into rated venture-debt AIFs to mirror U.S. depth. (Cravath – Homepage)
- Chapter-11–like restructuring
- Add a true debtor-in-possession (DIP) pathway within IBC for SMEs/startups with time-bound (≤180 days) restructurings, cram-downs, and safe-harbor protections for new money—so viable firms pivot instead of liquidating.
- Late-stage capital magnet
- Scale Fund-of-Funds 2.0 and a Sovereign Growth Facility to co-lead Series C-E with private GPs; enable tax-neutral buybacks/secondaries to recycle early LP capital and signal exit pathways.
- Domestic LP base
- Permit calibrated EPFO/NPS commitments to domestic VC/AIFs; simplify pass-through taxation and eliminate angel tax frictions for genuine price discovery rounds.
- IPO & M&A throughput
- Streamline Mainboard/SME IPO processes for tech (predictable profitability carve-outs, research coverage incentives) and ease big-tech M&A thresholds for sub-$1B deals to restore strategic exits.
- FX & cross-border flexibility
- Introduce a founder-friendly ODI/ODC sandbox for flipping/unflipping and global cash management; cheaper, standardized hedging for growth-stage dollar debt.
- National AI & deep-tech facilities
- Expand subsidized compute credits, shared labs, and public procurement for domestic AI/cyber/healthtech—crowding in private growth checks similar to U.S. AI megadeals. (Reuters)
- Data transparency & benchmarking
- Mandate anonymized quarterly disclosures from AIFs/banks on startup credit, defaults, recoveries—improving price discovery and reducing risk premiums.
Bottom line: The U.S. edge in 2024 came from scale + instruments (mega-rounds and venture debt) and a legal framework that preserves going-concern value. India can close the gap by cutting the cost of capital, deepening venture debt, adding Chapter-11–style restructuring, and accelerating late-stage liquidity—turning its strong 2024 rebound into sustained, U.S.-level firepower.